Forecasting elections using expert surveys: an application to U.S. presidential elections (2007)
Jones, Randall J., Armstrong, J. Scott, Cuzan, Alfred G.
Prior research offers a mixed view of the value of expert surveys for long-term election forecasts. On the positive side, experts have more information about the candidates and issues than voters do....
Forecasting elections using expert surveys: an application to U.S. presidential elections
Jones, Randall J., Armstrong, J. Scott, Cuzan, Alfred G.
Prior research offers a mixed view of the value of expert surveys for long-term election forecasts. On the positive side, experts have more information about the candidates and issues than voters do....
A Retrospect on Forecasting Midterm Elections to the U. S. House of Representatives
The International Institute of Forecasters, publisher of Foresight, sponsored a competition awarding a $1000 prize to the modelers that most accurately forecast the outcome of the 2006 U. S....