Ester Samuel-cahn

ALGEBRAIC CHARACTERIZATION PROBABILITIES OF MARKOV CHAINS; PERSISTENCY; ABSORPTION (2009)

Ester Samuel-cahn, Main Characterization Theorem

We consider an infinite Markov chain with states Eo, E,, " , such that E,, E2,- * is not closed, and for i- 1 movement to the right is limited by one step. Simple algebraic characterizations are...

A Statistical Version of Prophet Inequalities 1 (2007)

David Assaf, Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-cahn

All classical \prophet inequalities " for independent random variables hold also in the case where only a noise corrupted version of those variables is observable. That is, if the pairs (X...

X (2007)

David Assaf, Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-cahn

Let X i be non-negative, independent random variables with nite expectation, and

A Statistical Version of Prophet Inequalities 1 (2007)

David Assaf, Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-cahn

All classical “prophet inequalities ” for independent random variables hold also in the case where only a noise corrupted version of those variables is observable. That is, if the pairs (X1,...

Abbreviated title: Branching Processes and Optimal Stopping (2007)

David Assaf, Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-cahn

probability, varying environment, inhomogeneous Galton-Watson process, prophet inequalities. 1 A curious connection exists between the theory of optimal stopping for independent random variables, and...

Two Choice Optimal Stopping (2007)

David Assaf Larry, Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-cahn

Let X n ; : : : ; X 1 be i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F . A statistician, knowing F , observes the X values sequentially and is given two chances to choose X's using...

Two Choice Optimal Stopping + (2007)

David Assaf Larry, Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-cahn

Let X n , . . . , X 1 be i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F . A statistician, knowing F , observes the X values sequentially and is given two chances to choose X's using...

Select sets: Rank and file (2007)

Krieger, Abba M., Pollak, Moshe, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

In many situations, the decision maker observes items in sequence and needs to determine whether or not to retain a particular item immediately after it is observed. Any decision rule creates a set...

Select sets: Rank and file (2007)

Krieger, Abba M., Pollak, Moshe, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

In many situations, the decision maker observes items in sequence and needs to determine whether or not to retain a particular item immediately after it is observed. Any decision rule creates a set...

An unexpected connection between branching processes and optimal stopping (2005)

Assaf, David, Goldstein, Larry, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

A curious connection exists between the theory of optimal stopping for independent random variables, and branching processes. In particular, for the branching process $Z_n$ with offspring...

Two choice optimal stopping (2005)

Assaf, David, Goldstein, Larry, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

Let $X_n,...,X_1$ be i.i.d. random variables with distribution function $F$. A statistician, knowing $F$, observes the $X$ values sequentially and is given two chances to choose $X$'s using stopping...

Two-choice optimal stopping (2004)

Assaf, David, Goldstein, Larry, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

Let Xn,...,X1 be independent, identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables with distribution function F. A statistician, knowing F, observes the X values sequentially and is given two chances to...

Ratio prophet inequalities when the mortal has several choices (2002)

Assaf, David, Goldstein, Larry, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

Let $X_i$ be nonnegative, independent random variables with finite expectation, and $X^*_n = \max \{X_1, \ldots, X_n\}$. The value $EX^*_n$ is what can be obtained by a "prophet." A "mortal" on the...

Prophet inequalities for optimal stopping rules with probabilistic recall (2002)

Assaf, David, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

Let Xi, i = 1, ..., n, be independent random variables, and consider an optimal stopping problem where an observation not chosen in the past is still available i steps later with some probability pi,...

Ratio prophet inequalities when the mortal has several choices (2002)

David Assaf, Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-cahn

Let Xi be non-negative, independent random variables with finite expectation, and X ∗ n = max{X1,..., Xn}. The value EX ∗ n is what can be obtained by a “prophet”. A “mortal ” on the...

Simple ratio prophet inequalities for a mortal with multiple choices (2000)

Assaf, David, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

Let Xi ≥ 0 be independent, i = 1,..., n, with known distributions and let Xn*= max(X1,...,Xn). The classical `ratio prophet inequality' compares the return to a prophet, which is EXn*, to that of a...

An unexpected connection between branching processes and optimal stopping (2000)

Assaf, David, Goldstein, Larry, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

A curious connection exists between the theory of optimal stopping for independent random variables, and branching processes. In particular, for the branching process Zn with offspring distribution...

Optimal multivariate stopping rules (1998)

Assaf, David, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

For fixed i let X(i) = (X1(i), ..., Xd(i)) be a d-dimensional random vector with some known joint distribution. Here i should be considered a time variable. Let X(i), i = 1, ..., n be a sequence of n...

A statistical version of prophet inequalities (1998)

Assaf, David, Goldstein, Larry, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

All classical “prophet inequalities” for independent random variables hold also in the case where only a noise-corrupted version of those variables is observable. That is, if the pairs $(X_1,...

Is the Simes improved Bonferroni procedure conservative? (1996)

SAMUEL-CAHN, ESTER

Simes (1986) proposed a modified Bonferroni procedure for conducting multiple tests of significance. He proved that, when the n test statistics are independent, his procedure has exact size α....

When Should You Stop and what do You Get? Some Secretary Problems

Ester Samuel-Cahn

A version of a secretary problem is considered: Let Xj, j = 1,...,n be i.i.d. random variables. Like in the classical secretary problem the optimal stopper only observes Yj = 1, if Xj is a (relative)...

Optimal Two Choice Stopping on an Exponential Sequence

Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-Cahn

Asymptotic results for the problem of optimal two choice stopping on an n element long i.i.d. sequence Xn, . . . ,X1 have previously been obtained for two of the three domains of attraction. An...

Two Choice Optimal Stopping

David Assaf, Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-Cahn

Let Xn, . . . ,X1 be i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F. A statistician, knowing F, observes the X values sequentially and is given two chances to choose X’s using stopping rules....

Why is One Choice Different?

David Assaf, Ester Samuel-Cahn

Let X_i be nonnegative independent random variables with finite expectations and X^*_n = max {X_1, ..., X_n}. The value EX^*_n is what can be obtained by a ``prophet". A ``mortal" on the other hand,...

Maximizing expected value with two stage stopping rules

David Assaf, Larry Goldstein, Ester Samuel-Cahn

Let Xn,…,X1 be i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F and finite expectation. A statistician, knowing F, observes the X values sequentially and is given two chances to choose X's...

Select Sets: Rank and File

Abba M. Krieger, Moshe Pollak, Ester Samuel-Cahn

In many situations, the decision maker observes items in sequence and needs to determine whether or not to retain a particular item immediately after it is observed. Any decision rule creates a set...

Beat the Mean: Better the Average

Abba M. Krieger, Moshe Pollak, Ester Samuel-Cahn

We consider a sequential rule, where an item is chosen into the group, such as a university faculty member, only if his score is better than the average score of those already belonging to the group....

Extreme(ly) Mean(ingful)

Abba M. Krieger, Moshe Pollak, Ester Samuel-Cahn

The present paper studies the limiting behavior of the average score of a sequentially selected group of items or individuals, the underlying distribution of which, F, belongs to the Gumbel domain of...

Orderings of optimal stopping values and prophet inequalities for certain multivariate distributions

Rinott, Yosef, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

Suppose you observe a finite sequence of random variables from some known joint distribution F, you can stop the process at any time and your profit is the last observed value. If an optimal stopping...

Optimal cooperative stopping rules for maximization of the product of the expected stopped values

Assaf, David, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

The problem of finding stopping rules which maximize (EXt) (EYt) is considered, for independent pairs (Xi, Yi) of nonnegative r.v.s. with known joint distribution. The solution is compared to that of...

Covariance between variables and their order statistics for multivariate normal variables

Rinott, Yosef, Samuel-Cahn, Ester

Siegel (1993, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 88, 77-80) showed that when (X1, ..., Xn) have a multivariate normal distribution then Cov(X1, X(1)) = [Sigma]ni = 1 Cov(X1, Xi)P(Xi = X(1)), where X(1) is the...

Optimal stopping in urn models with payoff depending on maximal observed element

Samuel-Cahn, Ester

An urn contains N balls, labelled 1,...,N. Optimal stopping rules are considered for payoff functions f(k, m) where f(k, m) is the reward when stopping after k draws, and the largest number seen by...

Prophet inequalities for bounded negatively dependent random variables

Samuel-Cahn, Ester

It is shown that if Xk satisfy P(Xk < ak|X1 < a1,..., Xk-1 < ak-1) is nondecreasing in a1,..., ak-1, a negative dependence condition slightly weaker than CDS, and 0 [less-than-or-equals, slant] Xk...

The Secretary Problem of Minimizing Expected Rank: A Simple Suboptimal Approach with Generalizations

Abba M. Krieger, Ester Samuel-Cahn

The secretary problem for selecting one item so as to minimize its expected rank, based on observing the relative ranks only, is revisited. A simple suboptimal rule, which performs almost as well as...

The Spend-It-All Region and Small Time Results for the Continuous Bomber Problem

Jay Bartroff, Larry Goldstein, Yosef Rinott, Ester Samuel-Cahn

A problem of optimally allocating partially effective ammunition x to be used on randomly arriving enemies in order to maximize an aircraft's probability of surviving for time t, known as the Bomber...