Recurrent frequency-size distribution of characteristic events (2009)
S. G. Abaimov, K. F. Tiampo, D. L. Turcotte, J. B. Rundle
Statistical frequency-size (frequency-magnitude) properties of earthquake occurrence play an important role in seismic hazard assessments. The behavior of earthquakes is represented by two different...
S. G. Abaimov, D. L. Turcotte, R. Shcherbakov, J. B. Rundle
Recurrence and interoccurrence behavior of self-organized complex phenomena
Earthquake Statistics in Models and Data (2007)
Tiampo, K. F.; University Of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada, Jimenez, A.; University Of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada, Rundle, J. B.; Center For Computational Science And Engineering, University Of California, Davis, CA, USA, Klein, W.; Boston University, Boston, MA, USA, Bowman, D. D.; Calstate Fullerton, Fullerton, CA
Earthquake Statistics in Models and Data
Recurrence and interoccurrence behavior of self-organized complex phenomena (2007)
Abaimov, S. G., Turcotte, D. L., Shcherbakov, R., Rundle, J. B.
The sandpile, forest-fire and slider-block models are said to exhibit self-organized criticality. Associated natural phenomena include landslides, wildfires, and earthquakes. In all cases the...
Recurrence and interoccurrence behavior of self-organized complex phenomena (2007)
Abaimov, S. G., Turcotte, D. L., Shcherbakov, R., Rundle, J. B.
The sandpile, forest-fire and slider-block models are said to exhibit self-organized criticality. Associated natural phenomena include landslides, wildfires, and earthquakes. In all cases the...
Recurrence and interoccurrence behavior of self-organized complex phenomena (2007)
S. G. Abaimov, D. L. Turcotte, R. Shcherbakov, J. B. Rundle
The sandpile, forest-fire and slider-block models are said to exhibit self-organized criticality. Associated natural phenomena include landslides, wildfires, and earthquakes. In all cases the...
Klein, W., Gould, Harvey, Gulbahce, Natali, Rundle, J. B., Tiampo, K.
We analyze the structure of fluctuations near critical points and spinodals in mean-field and near-mean-field systems. Unlike systems that are non-mean-field, for which a fluctuation can be...
Ergodicity in Natural Earthquake Fault Networks (2006)
Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., Klein, W., Holliday, J., Martins, J. S. Sa, Ferguson, C. D.
Numerical simulations have shown that certain driven nonlinear systems can be characterized by mean-field statistical properties often associated with ergodic dynamics [C.D. Ferguson, W. Klein, and...
Pattern dynamics, pattern hierarchies, and forecasting in complex multi-scale earth systems (2006)
J. B. Rundle, D. L. Turcotte, P. B. Rundle, R. Shcherbakov, G. Yakovlev, A. Donnellan, ...
Catastrophic disasters afflicting human society are often triggered by tsunamis, earthquakes, widespread flooding, and weather and climate events. As human populations increasingly move into...
Using earthquake intensities to forecast earthquake occurrence times (2006)
J. R. Holliday, J. B. Rundle, K. F. Tiampo, D. L. Turcotte
It is well known that earthquakes do not occur randomly in space and time. Foreshocks, aftershocks, precursory activation, and quiescence are just some of the patterns recognized by seismologists....
Pattern dynamics, pattern hierarchies, and forecasting in complex multi-scale earth systems (2006)
Rundle, J. B., Turcotte, D. L., Rundle, P. B., Shcherbakov, R., Yakovlev, G., Donnellan, A., ...
Catastrophic disasters afflicting human society are often triggered by tsunamis, earthquakes, widespread flooding, and weather and climate events. As human populations increasingly move into...
Using earthquake intensities to forecast earthquake occurrence times (2006)
Holliday, J. R., Rundle, J. B., Tiampo, K. F., Turcotte, D. L.
It is well known that earthquakes do not occur randomly in space and time. Foreshocks, aftershocks, precursory activation, and quiescence are just some of the patterns recognized by seismologists....
Pattern dynamics, pattern hierarchies, and forecasting in complex multi-scale earth systems (2006)
Rundle, J. B., Turcotte, D. L., Rundle, P. B., Yakovlev, G., Shcherbakov, R., Donnellan, A., ...
Catastrophic disasters afflicting human society are often triggered by tsunamis, earthquakes, widespread flooding, and weather and climate events. As human populations increasingly move into...
Pattern dynamics, pattern hierarchies, and forecasting in complex multi-scale earth systems (2006)
Rundle, J. B., Turcotte, D. L., Rundle, P. B., Shcherbakov, R., Yakovlev, G., Donnellan, A., ...
Catastrophic disasters afflicting human society are often triggered by tsunamis, earthquakes, widespread flooding, and weather and climate events. As human populations increasingly move into...
Using earthquake intensities to forecast earthquake occurrence times (2006)
Holliday, J. R., Rundle, J. B., Tiampo, K. F., Turcotte, D. L.
It is well known that earthquakes do not occur randomly in space and time. Foreshocks, aftershocks, precursory activation, and quiescence are just some of the patterns recognized by seismologists....
Pattern dynamics, pattern hierarchies, and forecasting in complex multi-scale earth systems (2006)
Rundle, J. B., Turcotte, D. L., Rundle, P. B., Yakovlev, G., Shcherbakov, R., Donnellan, A., ...
Catastrophic disasters afflicting human society are often triggered by tsunamis, earthquakes, widespread flooding, and weather and climate events. As human populations increasingly move into...
Pattern dynamics, pattern hierarchies, and forecasting in complex multi-scale earth systems (2006)
J. B. Rundle, D. L. Turcotte, P. B. Rundle, G. Yakovlev, R. Shcherbakov, A. Donnellan, ...
Catastrophic disasters afflicting human society are often triggered by tsunamis, earthquakes, widespread flooding, and weather and climate events. As human populations increasingly move into...
Simulation of the Burridge-Knopoff Model of Earthquakes with Variable Range Stress Transfer (2005)
Xia, Junchao, Gould, Harvey, Klein, W., Rundle, J. B.
Simple models of earthquake faults are important for understanding the mechanisms for their observed behavior, such as Gutenberg-Richter scaling and the relation between large and small events, which...
Pattern Informatics and Its Application for Optimal Forecasting of Large Earthquakes in Japan (2005)
Nanjo, K. Z., Rundle, J. B., Holliday, J. R., Turcotte, D. L.
Pattern informatics (PI) technique can be used to detect precursory seismic activation or quiescence and make earthquake forecast. Here we apply the PI method for optimal forecasting of large...
Earthquake forecasting and its verification (2005)
J. R. Holliday, K. Z. Nanjo, K. F. Tiampo, J. B. Rundle, D. L. Turcotte
No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes (minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for earthquake...
Earthquake forecasting and its verification (2005)
Holliday, J. R., Nanjo, K. Z., Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., Turcotte, D. L.
No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes (minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for earthquake...
Earthquake forecasting and its verification (2005)
Holliday, J. R., Nanjo, K. Z., Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., Turcotte, D. L.
No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes (minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for earthquake...
Understanding and responding to earthquake hazards (2004)
Raymond, C. A., Lundgren, P. R., Madsen, S. N., Rundle, J. B.
Advances in understanding of the earthquake cycle and in assessing earthquake hazards is a topic of great importance. Dynamic earthquake hazard assessments resolved for a range of spatial scales and...
Charco, María, Fernández Torres, José, Sevilla, Miguel J., Rundle, J. B.
Volcanic activity produces ground deformation and gravity changes in response to geodynamic processes within the crust. Many of these precursors are measurable with present-day technology like...
Precursory dynamics in threshold systems (2001)
Martins, J. S. Sá, Rundle, J. B., Anghel, M., Klein, W.
A precursory dynamics, motivated by the analysis of recent experiments on solid-on-solid friction, is introduced in a continuous cellular automaton that mimics the essential physical contents of...
Scaling in a cellular automaton model of earthquake faults (2000)
Anghel, M., Klein, W., Rundle, J. B., Martins, J. S. S'a
We present theoretical arguments and simulation data indicating that the scaling of earthquake events in models of faults with long-range stress transfer is composed of at least three distinct...
Dynamical segmentation and rupture patterns in a 'toy' slider-block model for earthquakes (1995)
Lattice models for earthquakes have been shown to capture some of the dynamical properties possessed by natural fault systems. These properties include: 1) a scaling (power low) region in the curve...
Dynamical segmentation and rupture patterns in a "toy" slider-block model for earthquakes (1995)
Lattice models for earthquakes have been shown to capture some of the dynamical properties possessed by natural fault systems. These properties include: 1) a scaling (power low) region in the curve...
Dynamical segmentation and rupture patterns in a "toy" slider-block model for earthquakes (1995)
Lattice models for earthquakes have been shown to capture some of the dynamical properties possessed by natural fault systems. These properties include: 1) a scaling (power low) region in the curve...
Rundle, J. B., Tiampo, K. F., Klein, W., Sá Martins, J. S.
Threshold systems are known to be some of the most important nonlinear self-organizing systems in nature, including networks of earthquake faults, neural networks, superconductors and semiconductors,...
A simulation-based approach to forecasting the next great San Francisco earthquake
Rundle, J. B., Rundle, P. B., Donnellan, A., Turcotte, D. L., Shcherbakov, R., Li, P., ...
In 1906 the great San Francisco earthquake and fire destroyed much of the city. As we approach the 100-year anniversary of that event, a critical concern is the hazard posed by another such...
Rundle, J. B., Tiampo, K. F., Klein, W., Sá Martins, J. S.
Threshold systems are known to be some of the most important nonlinear self-organizing systems in nature, including networks of earthquake faults, neural networks, superconductors and semiconductors,...
A simulation-based approach to forecasting the next great San Francisco earthquake
Rundle, J. B., Rundle, P. B., Donnellan, A., Turcotte, D. L., Shcherbakov, R., Li, P., ...
In 1906 the great San Francisco earthquake and fire destroyed much of the city. As we approach the 100-year anniversary of that event, a critical concern is the hazard posed by another such...