Patrick L. Brockett

FRAUD CLASSIFICATION USING PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS OF RIDITs (2009)

Patrick L. Brockett, Richard A. Derrig, Linda L. Golden, Arnold Levine, Mark Alpert

This article introduces to the statistical and insurance literature a mathematical technique for an a priori classification of objects when no training sample exists for which the exact correct group...

M.D. I. Estimation via Unconstrained Convex Programming. (2002)

Brockett,Patrick L., Charnes,Abraham, Cooper,William W.

A method is presented for obtaining minimum discrimination information (M.D.I.) estimates of probability distributions. This involves using an extremal principal and, viewing M.D.I. estimation in a...

On the Unimodality of High Convolutions. (2002)

Brockett,Patrick L., Kemperman,J. H. B.

It has been conjectured, for any discrete density function on the integers, that there exists an n sub o such that the n-fold convolution is unimodal for all n > or = n sub o. A similar conjecture...

Statistical Tools for Determining Fitness to Fly (2002)

Brockett, Patrick L., Shea, Gerald A.

The goal of this project is to use data from regularly scheduled physical examinations to estimate the probability of an event such as a heart attack. This is done via the construction of a...

Non-Gaussian Stochastic Processes. (2002)

Brockett, Patrick L., Ellis, Glen E., Hinich, Melvin, Machell, Frederick W., Perod, Clark S.

The major objectives for this research on non-Gaussian signal processing (NG-SRO) were: (1) statistical characterization and analyses of classes of non-Gaussian stochastic processes for underwater...

Feasibility Study of a FAARRS-SHARE Methodology for the U.S. Army Reserve. (1997)

Brockett, Patrick L., Rousseau, John J., Wang, Yuying

This report describes research into the feasibility of developing a Forecasting and Allocation of Army Recruiting Resources Study-Sequential Hierarchical Allocation of Resource Elements...

The effect of random scale changes on limits of infinitesimal systems (1978)

Patrick L. Brockett

Suppose S={{Xnj,   j=1,2,…,kn}} is an infinitesimal system of random variables whose centered sums converge in law to a (necessarily infinitely...

The effect of random scale changes on limits of infinitesimal systems (1978)

Patrick L. Brockett

Suppose S={{Xnj,   j=1,2,…,kn}} is an infinitesimal system of random variables whose centered sums converge in law to a (necessarily infinitely divisible) distribution with Levy...

Portfolio Effects and Valuation of Weather Derivatives

Patrick L. Brockett, Mulong Wang, Chuanhou Yang, Hong Zou

In a mean-variance framework, the indifference pricing approach is adopted to value weather derivatives, taking account of portfolio effects. Our analysis shows how the magnitude of portfolio effects...

EVENT STUDY METHODOLOGY: A NEW AND STOCHASTICALLY FLEXIBLE APPROACH

Patrick L. Brockett, Hwei-Mei CHEN, James R. GARVEN

A number of articles have documented that the classical event study methodology exhibits a bias toward detecting "effects", irrespective of whether such effects actually exist. This paper addresses...

A REEXAMINATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PREFERENCES AND MOMENT ORDERINGS BY RATIONAL RISK AVERSE INVESTORS

Patrick L. Brockett, James R. GARVEN

This paper shows that a flaw exists in the logic behind the previously stated theoretical connections between utility theory and moment preferences. In fact, no such relationship exists. There is...

A Reexamination of the Relationship Between Preferences and Moment Orderings by Rational Risk-Averse Investors

Patrick L. Brockett, James R. Garven

This article examines the relationship between risk, return, skewness, and utility-based preferences. Examples are constructed showing that, for any commonly used utility function, it is possible to...

A conditional dichotomy theorem for stochastic processes with independent increments

Brockett, Patrick L., Tucker, Howard G.

Let X(t) and Y(t) be two stochastically continuous processes with independent increments over [0, T] and Lévy spectral measures Mt and Nt, respectively, and let the "time-jump" measures M and N be...

Variance bounds using a theorem of Polya

Arnold, Barry C., Brockett, Patrick L.

This paper uses an extension of a theorem of Polya to derive bounds for the variance of a random variable. These are applied to maxima and minima of a sample and the bounds are found to be quite good.

A Comparison of HMO Efficiencies as a Function of Provider Autonomy

Patrick L. Brockett, Ray E. Chang, John J. Rousseau, John H. Semple, Chuanhou Yang

Current debates in the insurance and public policy literatures over health care financing and cost control measures continue to focus on managed care and HMOs. The lower utilization rates found in...

Financial Intermediary Versus Production Approach to Efficiency of Marketing Distribution Systems and Organizational Structure of Insurance Companies

Patrick L. Brockett, William W. Cooper, Linda L. Golden, John J. Rousseau, Yuying Wang

An examination of the efficiency of the marketing distribution channel and organizational structure for insurance companies is presented from a framework that views the insurer as a financial...

A Comparison of Neural Network, Statistical Methods, and Variable Choice for Life Insurers' Financial Distress Prediction

Patrick L. Brockett, Linda L. Golden, Jaeho Jang, Chuanhou Yang

This study examines the effect of the statistical/mathematical model selected and the variable set considered on the ability to identify financially troubled life insurers. Models considered are two...

Biological and Psychobehavioral Correlates of Credit Scores and Automobile Insurance Losses: Toward an Explication of Why Credit Scoring Works

Patrick L. Brockett, Linda L. Golden

The most important new development in the past two decades in the personal lines of insurance may well be the use of an individual's credit history as a classification and rating variable to predict...

Survival Analysis of a Household Portfolio of Insurance Policies: How Much Time Do You Have to Stop Total Customer Defection?

Patrick L. Brockett, Linda L. Golden, Montserrat Guillen, Jens Perch Nielsen, Jan Parner

Customer-side influences on insurance have been relatively ignored in the literature. Using the household as the unit of analysis, this article focuses on the behavior of households having multiple...

Commentary on "a review of research on the negative accounting relationship between risk and return: Bowman's paradox by M.N. Nickel and M.C. Rodriguez"

Brockett, Patrick L., Cooper, William W., Kwon, K. H., Ruefli, T. W.

The February 2002 issue of Omega contains an article by M.N. Nickel and M.C. Rodriguez which reviews and evaluates research dealing with what is called the "Bowman Paradox" in the literature of...