Predicting elections from politicians’ faces (2008)
Armstrong, J. Scott, Green, Kesten C., Jones, Randall J., Wright, Malcolm
Prior research found that people’s assessments of relative competence predicted the outcome of Senate and Congressional races. We hypothesized that snap judgments of "facial competence" would...
Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces (2008)
Armstrong, J. Scott, Green, Kesten C, Jones, Randall J, Wright, Malcolm
Prior research found that people's assessments of relative competence predicted the outcome of Senate and Congressional races. We hypothesized that snap judgments of "facial competence" would provide...
Forecasting Elections Using Expert Surveys: An Application to U. S. Presidential Elections (2007)
Jones, Randall J, Armstrong, J. Scott, Cuzán, Alfred G
Prior research offers a mixed view of the value of expert surveys for long-term election forecasts. On the positive side, experts have more information about the candidates and issues than voters do....
Forecasting elections using expert surveys: an application to U.S. presidential elections (2007)
Jones, Randall J., Armstrong, J. Scott, Cuzan, Alfred G.
Prior research offers a mixed view of the value of expert surveys for long-term election forecasts. On the positive side, experts have more information about the candidates and issues than voters do....
Forecasting elections using expert surveys: an application to U.S. presidential elections
Jones, Randall J., Armstrong, J. Scott, Cuzan, Alfred G.
Prior research offers a mixed view of the value of expert surveys for long-term election forecasts. On the positive side, experts have more information about the candidates and issues than voters do....
Empirical Models of Political Risks in U.S. Oil Production Operations in Venezuela
In 9 of the years between 1961 and 1978, Venezuelan regimes took actions adverse to the profitability of l U.S oil companies’ local production operations. In this study 2 time-series discriminant...
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces
Armstrong, J. Scott, Green, Kesten C., Jones, Randall J., Wright, Malcolm
Prior research found that people’s assessments of relative competence predicted the outcome of Senate and Congressional races. We hypothesized that snap judgments of "facial competence" would...
The state of presidential election forecasting: The 2004 experience
This paper assesses the current state of U. S. presidential election forecasting, describing forecast methods and their predictive accuracies for the most recent election, 2004. Three types of...