Roland Vaubel

Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Political Business Cycle : a Panel Data Analysis (2005)

Dreher, Axel, Vaubel, Roland

By combining expansionary open market operations with sales of foreign exchange, the central bank can expand the monetary base without depreciating the exchange rate. Thus, if there is a monetary...

The Future of the Euro : A Public Choice Perspective (2005)

Vaubel, Roland

Public choice analysis can be helpful in predicting the course of European monetary integration and policy. The median (or decisive) voter theorem, the theory of the political business cycle and the...

Does the IMF cause moral hazard and political business cycles? : Evidence from panel data (2005)

Dreher, Axel, Vaubel, Roland

Using panel data for 106 countries in 1971-1997, we estimate generalized least squares regressions to explain IMF lending as well as monetary and fiscal policies in the recipient countries. With...

Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Political Business Cycle : a Panel Data Analysis (2005)

Dreher, Axel, Vaubel, Roland

By combining expansionary open market operations with sales of foreign exchange, the central bank can expand the monetary base without depreciating the exchange rate. Thus, if there is a monetary...

The Role of Competition in the Rise of Baroque and Renaissance Music

Roland Vaubel

Section 1 introduces the hypothesis that competition among neighboring states may favor cultural innovation, and it surveys the available quantitative evidence. Section 2 starts from the assumption...

Does the IMF cause moral hazard and political business cycles? Evidence from panel data

Dreher, Axel, Vaubel, Roland

Using panel data for 106 countries in 1971 - 1997, we estimate generalized least squares regressions to explain IMF lending as well as monetary and fiscal policies in the recipient countries. With...

The Future of the Euro : A Public Choice Perspective

Vaubel, Roland

Judging from past inflation and opinion poll data, France occupies the inflation median in the ECB Council if real exchange rate changes are ignored. Central bank independence does not have a...

Do IMF and IBRD Cause Moral Hazard and Political Business Cycles? Evidence from Panel Data

Axel Dreher, Roland Vaubel

Using panel data for 94 countries in 1975–97, we estimate OLS, 2SLS and GMM regressions to explain IMF and IBRD lending as well as monetary and fiscal policies in the recipient countries. With...

The Causes and Consequences of IMF Conditionality

AXEL DREHER, ROLAND VAUBEL

We develop a public choice model of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in which credit and conditionality are simultaneously determined by the demand for, and supply of, IMF credit. A graphical...

FEDERATION WITH MAJORITY DECISIONS: ECONOMIC LESSONS FROM THE HISTORY OF THE UNITED STATES, GERMANY AND THE EUROPEAN UNION

Roland Vaubel

"This article examines the potential impact of qualified majority voting on decision-making within the EU. It draws on the experience of US federalism, Germany under Bismarck and the UK in the...

The Educational and Professional Background of Central Bankers and its Effect on Inflation – An Empirical Analysis

Silja Göhlmann, Roland Vaubel

We assume that central banks can control inflation so that inflation rates reflect the preferences of the central bank council.The hypothesis to be tested is that these preferences depend on the...

Staff growth in international organizations: A principal-agent problem? An empirical analysis

Roland Vaubel, Axel Dreher, Uğurlu Soylu

International organizations, Bureaucracy, Principal-agent problem, Membership size, Partisan policies, F 02,

Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Political Business Cycle : A Panel Data Analysis

Axel Dreher, Roland Vaubel

By combining expansionary open market operations with sales of foreign exchange, the central bank can expand the monetary base without depreciating the exchange rate. Thus, if there is a monetary...

Does the IMF cause moral hazard and political business cycles? Evidence from panel data

Axel Dreher, Roland Vaubel

Using panel data for 106 countries in 1971-1997, we estimate generalized least squares regressions to explain IMF lending as well as monetary and fiscal policies in the recipient countries. With...

The Causes and Consequences of IMF Conditionality

Axel Dreher, Roland Vaubel

We develop a public choice model of the International Monetary Fund in which credit and conditionality are simultaneously determined by the demand for, and supply of, IMF credit. A graphical analysis...

FOREIGN EXCHANGE INTERVENTION AND THE POLITICAL BUSINESS CYCLE: A PANEL DATA ANALYSIS

Axel Dreher, Roland Vaubel

By combining expansionary open market operations with sales of foreign exchange, the central bank can expand the monetary base without depreciating the exchange rate. Thus, if there is a monetary...

Staff Growth in International Organizations: A Principal-Agent Problem? An Empirical Analysis

Roland Vaubel, Axel Dreher, Ugurlu Soylu

The analysis covers 27 international organizations in the years 1950- 2001. From the first to the last year, staff increased at a compound average rate of 3.2 percent per annum. Since the number of...

An Alternative Constitutional Treaty for the European Union

Peter Bernholz, Friedrich Schneider, Roland Vaubel, Frank Vibert

We propose an alternative to the Constitutional Treaty drafted by the European Convention. Our proposal effectively limits the domain of government at the Union level. It takes the incentives of the...

The Political Economy of Centralization and the European Community.

Vaubel, Roland

Since 1972, the share of central government expenditure in total public expenditure has continued to increase in most industrial countries. In an international cross-section analysis, it has a...

The future of fiscal federalism and the need for global government: A response to Vito Tanzi

Vaubel, Roland

Vito Tanzi [Tanzi, V., 2008. The future of fiscal federalism. European Journal of Political Economy 24, 705-712] makes a case for global government. This comment reconsiders the merits of global...

The Theory of Raising Rivals' Costs and Evidence from the International Labour Organisation

Bernhard Boockmann, Roland Vaubel

The strategy of raising rivals' costs may be adopted by firms in a market, a cartel or interest group or by political majorities in a federal state or international organisation. We provide a first...

Foreign exchange intervention and the political business cycle: A panel data analysis

Dreher, Axel, Vaubel, Roland

By combining expansionary open-market operations with sales of foreign exchange, the central bank can expand the monetary base without depreciating the exchange rate. Thus, if there is a monetary...

DO WE REALLY NEED CENTRAL BANKS?

Roland Vaubel

An analysis of economic theory and economic history suggests that central banks, with a monopoly of money-issuing services, are not necessary. The often-levelled arguments against private banks...

LESSONS FROM THE FINANCIAL CRISIS: THE INTERNATIONAL DIMENSION

Roland Vaubel

The current financial crisis has arisen as a result of entrepreneurial and business error rather than because of inappropriate incentives within the private sector. However, government failure has...

Constitutional courts as promoters of political centralization: lessons for the European Court of Justice

Roland Vaubel

Constitutional courts, International courts, European integration, H 77, K 33, P 48,